Forex
Trading:
It is a golden day for Export Companies but
dooms day for many companies. FII selling pressure will gradually
impact market in the short term. Will mutual funds and domestic
buyers save the market? Markets are at crucial stage and I will
closely watch the FII inflow and out flow. Rupee appreciation will
be halted against dollar. Major boost for export companies like IT,
Textile etc.
Global
markets: US Markets ended on
positive note after the intra-day volatility. But FIIs will spoil
Indian Markets by moving funds from Indian markets to US markets due
to dollar appreciation. Lack of liquidity is a concern. Falling
crude oil price is the positive cue from global markets.
Market movements: If investors immediately understand the impact of
ECB tightening, it will be a sharp fall. If investors temporarily
buoyed by IT stocks rise, markets may sustain for some more time.
Sector of the day: IT Sector. 5-10% gains may be possible for these
battered stocks.
Stock of the Day: Infosys.
Significant News:
1. No change in fed interest rates. Inflation is a real concern.
2. Fresh restrictions on External Commercial borrowings (ECB).
Maximum limit is $ 20 million for rupee.
3. More sops for exporters by this month end. Accumulate these
laggards.
Positive Stock news:
1. City Union Bank announced stock split in 1:10 ratio.
2. TTML, Bharti Airtel and R-Com are in race for 51% stake in Kenya
Telkom.
3. Telecom companies will get tax benefits due to tower sharing.
4. Take Solutions IPO oversubscribed 59.4% times but retail portion
got 23% over subscription.
5. Great Offshore will buy a Scandinavian company for $ 500 million.
6. ICICI Bank cuts deposit rates by 25-50 bps.
7. Punj Lloyd will place a QIP for $ 400 million.
8. India is now the 5th largest crude steel producer.
Negative Stock News:
1. Left Parties blocked Indo-US Nuclear deal.
2. Due to tightening of ECB norms, Companies will have to pay extra
money for loans.
3. Falling crude is a positive sign while dollar appreciation is a
negative signal for oil marketing companies.
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